SynapseEnergize

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Petrich, Bulgaria

Financial Scenario Modeling Program

Learn to build forecasts that actually work. This six-month program teaches you how to model financial outcomes for small businesses and startups operating in uncertain markets.

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Why Scenario Modeling Matters

Most financial planning assumes things will go according to plan. But what happens when they don't?

Scenario modeling helps you prepare for different futures. You'll learn to create realistic financial projections that account for market changes, unexpected costs, and revenue fluctuations. We focus on practical skills you can apply right away, not theory that sits in a textbook.

This program started in 2023 when we noticed businesses in Bulgaria struggling with volatile currency rates and shifting consumer behavior. We developed a teaching approach that combines spreadsheet work with real case analysis.

Students working on financial scenario analysis with spreadsheets and projection models

What You'll Actually Learn

Six months of hands-on work with financial models, spreadsheets, and real business data. No fluff, just practical skills.

Financial Fundamentals

Start with the basics if you need them. We cover cash flow statements, profit margins, and the metrics that actually matter for small businesses.

  • Reading financial statements
  • Understanding key ratios
  • Identifying cost drivers

Building Your First Model

Create a three-scenario financial projection from scratch. You'll work with actual anonymized data from Bulgarian small businesses facing real challenges.

  • Spreadsheet structure
  • Variable identification
  • Sensitivity analysis

Market Variables

Learn to incorporate external factors into your models. Currency fluctuations, seasonal patterns, and local market dynamics all matter.

  • Economic indicators
  • Seasonal adjustments
  • Risk assessment

Advanced Scenarios

Go beyond simple best/worst case. You'll model multiple outcome paths and learn when each approach makes sense.

  • Monte Carlo basics
  • Probability weighting
  • Confidence intervals

Presentation Skills

A great model means nothing if you can't explain it. Learn to present financial scenarios to people who aren't finance experts.

  • Visual communication
  • Executive summaries
  • Assumption documentation

Capstone Project

Spend your final month building a complete scenario model for a real business. We'll provide the case or you can bring your own.

  • Independent research
  • Full model build
  • Presentation review

Who Teaches This Program

We're practitioners, not academics. Both instructors have spent years building financial models for actual businesses and dealing with the messiness that comes with real data.

Portrait of Mirela Kostova, lead instructor

Mirela Kostova

Lead Instructor

Mirela worked as a financial analyst for a Sofia-based startup accelerator from 2019 to 2024. She's reviewed hundreds of financial projections and knows what works and what doesn't. Her teaching style is direct and she won't let you hide behind vague assumptions.

Portrait of Teodora Mihailova, technical instructor

Teodora Mihailova

Technical Instructor

Teodora specializes in the spreadsheet mechanics and data visualization side of modeling. She previously built financial dashboards for retail businesses and knows how to make complex data comprehensible. Expect her to push you on documentation and clarity.

Program Structure

Classes meet twice weekly for three hours each session. That's 144 total contact hours over six months, plus independent project work.

We run cohorts twice a year. The autumn 2025 session starts September 15th. Spring 2026 begins February 23rd.

You'll need reliable internet, a computer capable of running spreadsheet software, and about ten hours per week for homework and projects. Most students say they spend closer to fifteen hours weekly during the capstone phase.

1

Months 1-2: Foundation

Financial basics and first simple models. Weekly assignments focus on understanding financial statements and identifying the variables that drive business outcomes.

2

Months 3-4: Application

Building multi-scenario models with real complexity. You'll work in pairs on case studies based on actual Bulgarian businesses from various sectors.

3

Months 5-6: Integration

Advanced techniques and your capstone project. Individual work with instructor feedback as you build a complete scenario model and presentation.

Ready to Start?

The autumn 2025 cohort has twenty seats. We typically receive applications from about forty candidates, so spots fill up early.

Duration

6 months, part-time
144 contact hours

Schedule

Twice weekly
Evening sessions

Next Start

September 15, 2025
Applications due August 1st

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